FIRE Movement: Financial Independence, Active Investing, Milestones

View on OpenSea

โ€œThe most precious resource we have is time.”

Get Full Access to Trends Pro

โ“ What You’ll Learn

  • What is the FIRE movement?
  • What is the 4% rule?
  • Who reached a six-figure net worth by 25 years old?
  • How to simplify saving and investing?
  • What is Fat FIRE?
  • Why does an inner scorecard matter?
  • Who retired at 39 years old with $660,000 in investments?
  • Where does the 4% rule come from?
  • Whatโ€™s the gap?


๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

Time is your most valuable resource.


๐Ÿ” Problem

We spend most of our lives working with hopes to reach financial independence in our 60s. 


We may be financially wealthy but time poor by then.


๐Ÿ’ก Solution

FIRE (Financial Independence Retire Early) is about living intentionally. 


Financial independence helps you focus on non-financial forms of wealth. 
Such as time, health and relationships.


To reach FIRE:

  1. Find out how much you need to live
  2. Multiply your projected annual expenses by 25
  3. This is your financial independence number
  4. Set your savings rate
  5. Automate investing

The โ€œ25x ruleโ€ (or 4% rule) is based on the Trinity Study. Focused on a mix of stocks and bonds. 


๐Ÿ Players

Examples

  • Roshida โ€ข A lawyer took time off to travel with $660,000 in investments. Then retired to Mexico City at 39 years old. 
  • Amy โ€ข She went from waitressing to becoming a social media manager. She reached a six-figure net worth by 25. Amy is aiming for 7 figures by 36. 
  • Lynn โ€ข A nurse reached financial independence and describes her state as โ€œwork optional.โ€ She decided to continue working. 
  • Amon and Christina โ€ข This couple had a combined income of less than $100,000/year. They retired at 39 and 41. They now live in Portugal with two kids.  
  • Bianca โ€ข This flight attendant made less than six-figures a year with children and reached financial independence.


Notable Figures


๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

  • Remote work will help some reach FI sooner by separating where we work from where we live. You can boost your quality of life while lowering expenses. Work in New York City and live in Mexico City. Until wages globally normalize. Arbitrages eventually fade. 
  • Active investing will become more popular as passive investing gains traction. Index investing and robo-advisors such as Wealthfront are well-known. The more people zig, the more profitable it becomes to zag. With real estatemicro private equity and more.


โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

  • Know your whyThis group shared their โ€œwhysโ€ at CampFI. Grant found his โ€œwhyโ€ post-FI. A northstar helps you through tough times and sacrifices.
  • Trial your post-FI life. The sharing economy (Airbnb and Turo) makes this easier. Planning a life of travel, jiu-jitsu or surfing post-FI? Why wait to try these experiences?
  • Set an aggressive savings rate. Saving 10% of your income lets you take 1 day off for every 9 days that you work. Saving 50% lets you take 1 day off for each day that you work. This is before compound interest accelerates this.
  • Set milestones to stay motivated. An emergency fund reduces stress. So does a mini-retirement fund. FIRE has levels. See LeanFIREFIRE and FatFIRE


๐Ÿ”๏ธ Risks

  • Status Games โ€ข Keeping up with the Joneses’. Have an inner scorecard to reach FI. Status games are a race to the bottom. 
  • High-Interest Debt โ€ข Debt can work for you or against you. High-interest debt may lead to net losses in wealth even if you invest.


๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

  • Time is our most valuable resource. Itโ€™s nonrenewable. 
  • Simplify savings to make the journey sustainable. Donโ€™t enjoy budgeting? Set an aggressive savings rate, automate investments and spend the rest. 


๐Ÿ˜  Haters

โ€œThis takes too long.โ€
Time will pass whether or not youโ€™re financially independent. Or stressing about money. You can cut years or decades off your FI journey by making more, saving more and cutting expenses. 


โ€œI donโ€™t want to cut expenses.โ€
You donโ€™t have to. Focus on making more, saving more and setting an aggressive savings rate. Thereโ€™s FatFIRE. Which focuses on making and saving more. Instead of only cutting expenses. Thereโ€™s no wrong FI number. Your number is your number. 


โ€œThis is only for people who make lots of money.โ€
There are examples of those who reached FI with modest incomes. A high income can help. Making more is in your control. Earn more if you prefer to hold this belief. 


โ€œMoney isnโ€™t everything.โ€
There are other forms of wealth. These types of wealth are easier to optimize for once you reach financial independence.


โ€œI donโ€™t want to retire.โ€
Most who reach FI (financial independence) donโ€™t RE (retire early). They have optionality. They can take breaks. Or quit. They can do what they want to do. Not what they have to do. 


๐Ÿ”— Links


๐Ÿ“ Related Reports


๐Ÿ™ Thanks

Thanks to Stewart Townsend (Podcast Hawk), Jeremy Abraham (Spiffy), Brad Barrett (ChooseFI), Scott Rieckens (Playing with FIRE), Miles BecklerAshwin (Trends.vc), Yarty Kim (A4E), Michael Pearson-Adams (MPA Fine Art), Sean HuaShayla Price (PrimoStats), Mike Privette (Return on Security), Edward McenrueEvangeline Gersich (Bungalow), Christophe Williams (Cedar Labs), Mark Podolsky (The Land Geek), Robbe Richman (The Culture Blueprint), Domen Kert (500 Startups) and Roald Larsen (Untaylored). We had a great time jamming on this report.


Get Weekly Reports

Join 65,000+ founders and investors


    ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

    Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

    ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

    ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

    ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

    ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

    ๐Ÿ“ˆ What else?

    Trends PRO #0075 โ€” The FIRE Movement has more insights.

    ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๏ปฟWhat you’ll get:

    • 15 Examples (200% More)
    • 12 Notable Figures (140% More)
    • 4 Predictions (100% More)
    • 8 Opportunities (100% More)
    • 5 Risks (150% More)
    • 4 Key Lessons (100% More)
    • 11 Links (266% More)

    With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which engineer retired at 33?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who reached FIRE with 5 kids?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How can geoarbitrage help you reach FIRE?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which single mother reached FIRE by 46?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why do some question the 4% rule?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which high school dropout reached FI before 40?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to use real estate to reach FI sooner?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why does financial literacy matter?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why should you automate saving and investing?
    • and much more…

    Product-Led Growth: Time-To-Value, Onboarding, Non-SaaS Businesses

    An animated illustration of a rocket flying through the clouds.

    โ€œFirst time founders are obsessed with product.
    Second time founders are obsessed with distribution.โ€
    โ€” @justinkan

    Get Full Access to Trends Pro

    โ“ What You’ll Learn

    • Whatโ€™s product-led growth?
    • How does bottom-up SaaS work?
    • How to boost realized value?
    • How to uncover user intent?
    • How to optimize time-to-value?
    • How to simplify onboarding?
    • How to help users self-educate?


    ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

    Distribution matters more than product.


    ๐Ÿ” Problem

    Sales-led models limit adoption.


    ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

    Build a product that sells itself. 

    Let users try before they buy.


    ๐Ÿ Players


    ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

    • SaaS companies will focus on SMBs and serve enterprise customers through agencies. Shopify and Webflow highlight trusted partners who provide implementation services. Allowing them to focus on (scalable) software. Without touching (unscalable) services.
    • End users will gain more power in large organizations. Most developer tools are bottom-up SaaS. Slack broke into organizations without permission from C-Suites. 
    • Product-led growth models will be applied outside of SaaS. Think Netflix, Spotify and Codeacademy. Lower lifetime values necessitate a product-led approach. 


    โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

    • Use onboarding surveys to uncover intent. What โ€œjobโ€ is your product being hired to do? Customize experiences based on user goals. If I want to use your graphic design tool to make posters. Drop me into an editor with a sample poster instead of a blank canvas.
    • Optimize time-to-value. Once you know a userโ€™s objective, measure whether they reach it and how long it takes. Here are 5 ways to improve user activation.
    • Help users realize value received. Brave shows you time saved. MailerLite shows you emails sent. Stripe shows money made. Sync received value with realized value.
    • Apply product-led lessons to non-SaaS businesses.


    ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

    • Product-led growth goes beyond freemium and free trials. Sales, support and development should focus on acquisition, conversion and revenue expansion. 
    • Remove unnecessary steps from onboarding.
    • Help users self-educate. Invest in documentation.


    ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

    โ€œIโ€™ll lose enterprise accounts without salespeople.โ€

    Product-led growth and sales arenโ€™t mutually exclusive. See Zoom, Slack and AWS.


    โ€œMy product is too complex for product-led growth.โ€

    If this is true. Ok. If not, youโ€™ll find out. You can disrupt yourself. Or get disrupted.


    โ€œProduct-led growth isnโ€™t new.โ€

    No-Code isnโ€™t new. Charter Cities arenโ€™t new. Remote Work isnโ€™t new. Few things are. Customer acquisition costs are rising. Code is being commoditized. Companies are competing on distribution more than product. This is why companies are obsessed with product-led growth.


    โ€‹โ€‹๐Ÿ”— Links

    1. Product-Led Growth โ€ข A primer on product-led growth from Wes Bush. 
    2. The Essence of Product-Led Growth โ€ข Things to consider when deciding between product-led and sales-led models.
    3. Product-Led Growth Framework Masterclass โ€ข Learn to eliminate unnecessary steps.


    ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

    • No-Code โ€ข See more companies like Softr, Tally and Zapier.
    • Ecosystems โ€ข SaaS companies are becoming platforms. 
    • Growth Tools โ€ข Attract ideal users with free tools.ย 
    • Referral Programs โ€ข Leverage current users to reach new users. 
    • Micro-SaaS โ€ข Low lifetime values necessitate product-led models. 


    ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

    Thanks to Tyler King (Less Annoying CRM), Stewart Townsend (Channel asService), Jeremy Abraham (Spiffy), Ilya Sterin (Medidata Solutions), Deepanker Dua (Rerouting), Ben Alexander (PMG), Natwar Maheshwari (Engineering Brew), Uwe Dreissigacker (InvoiceBerry), Shashank (Omdena), Ray Deck (Sustained Ventures) and Yarty Kim (Bourne Fighter). We had a great time jamming on this report.

    Get Weekly Reports

    Join 65,000+ founders and investors


      ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

      Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

      ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

      ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

      ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

      ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

      ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

      ๐Ÿ“ˆ What else?

      Trends PRO #0070 โ€” Product-Led Growth has more insights.

      What youโ€™ll get:

      • 30 Players (233% more)
      • 6 Predictions (100% more)
      • 8 Opportunities (100% More)
      • 7 Key Lessons (133% More)
      • 10 Links (233% More)
      • 16-minute audio episode with exclusive Product-Led Growth stories, insights and opportunities

      With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to shorten sales cycles
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to lower customer acquisition costs
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are growth tools
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How does machine learning cut time-to-value?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) When does sales-led growth make sense? 
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How does Slack use their product as a lead magnet
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How are enterprise expectations changing? 

      Agencies: Recurring Revenue, Productized Services, Product Ladders

      Animation of shaking hands

      โ€œYou are what you do, not what you say you’ll do.โ€

      Get Full Access to Trends Pro

      โ“ What You’ll Learn

      • Which $30M ARR company came from a digital agency?
      • Who earns $100,000+ per month running the same playbook for clients?
      • What are the upsides of running an agency?
      • How to build recurring revenue?
      • How to get inbound leads?
      • Which agencies switched from services to SaaS?

      ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

      Agencies help entrepreneurs earn income faster than other business models with less risk. You may also find valuable problems to solve at scale with SaaS. Or earn equity in clients.

      ๐Ÿ” Problem

      Companies have short-term needs, lack internal skills, need to scale fast or fill a fractional role such as CFO or CTO.

      ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

      Agencies help companies solve these problems without hiring and managing large teams. 

      ๐Ÿ Players

      No-Code

      • 8020 โ€ข Move faster without code.
      • 021 โ€ข Get your MVP built in 30 days.
      • People First โ€ข No-code design studio.
      • Ideable โ€ข Build the right product faster.
      • Idea Link โ€ข No-code websites and apps.
      • RapidDev โ€ข Software development agency.
      • Minimum.run โ€ข Validate hypotheses without code.
      • Optemization โ€ข 10x your remote team’s productivity.
      • Reboot โ€ข Turn your vision into products people love.
      • Websterpeace โ€ข No-code projects for your favorite brands.
      • Airdev โ€ข Build faster and launch products that people want.
      • 9x โ€ข Tools and automations to move your business forward.
      • TheFlow โ€ข Launch your Webflow site, Shopify store or no-code project. 

      Marketing

      • AKvertise โ€ข Social media agency.
      • Major Tom โ€ข Full-service marketing agency. 
      • Digitalina โ€ข Generate leads from social media.
      • Tetriz โ€ข Get more leads with sales automation.
      • Optdcom โ€ข Data-driven digital marketing agency.
      • Contentus โ€ข Content strategy and original content.
      • Leadbird โ€ข Dedicated business development team.
      • Rain Factory โ€ข Marketing for growing online brands. 
      • Content Whale โ€ข 42 types of content writing services.
      • iPullRank โ€ข Content strategy and enterprise SEO agency.
      • Delverise โ€ข Digital product and growth strategy solutions.
      • Fantom โ€ข Helps SaaS companies scale with paid advertising.
      • Stodzy โ€ข Helps local healthcare businesses get more patients.
      • Digital Voices โ€ข Influencer marketing campaigns with YouTube creators.

      Storytelling

      • Lemonly โ€ข Get help explaining your story. 
      • Scribe โ€ข Get help writing, publishing and marketing your book. 
      • Venture Narrative โ€ข Helps founders write narratives to inspire employees and attract customers.

      Operations

      • ZenPilot โ€ข Operations experts for marketing agencies.
      • Luhhu โ€ข Automate processes to save time and money.
      • Automate Labs โ€ข Streamline and automate your company operations.
      • Themelocation โ€ข White-label WordPress development and maintenance support.

      ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

      • Agency owners will go from services to SaaS. See BildrMemberspaceMailchimp and Basecamp. All were agencies before valuable problems were found and solved at scale.
      • Platforms will try to attract agencies to their ecosystems. See partner programs (Shopify Plus Partners), certifications (AWS) and affiliate programs (Quickbooks). Platforms can improve their ecosystems while maintaining high margins.

      โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

      • Show your work. Your portfolio lowers doubt about whether you can do the job. You build authority as you share. Eddie Lobanovskiy gained 200,000+ followers by posting his work on Dribbble.
      • Build reusable systems and assets to become more efficient. Agencies sell on value and become more efficient over time. Jeff Lerner earns $100,000+ per month running the same playbook for local personal injury attorneys. Stodzy has a similar model.
      • Find valuable problems to solve with high-leverage business models.
      • Use inbound marketing to build your top of funnel. Shane Youngโ€™s 100,000-subscriber YouTube channel guides clients to PowerApps911. Brent Weaver gets 5-15 qualified leads from each talk he gives. Dan Runcie has a free newsletter and consults. Pick a channel and focus.
      • Build a value ladder. Create do-it-yourself, done-with-you and done-for-you offers. Flavio has a blog (free), books ($), courses ($$) and bootcamps ($$$). Prospects will trust you more when youโ€™ve made and delivered on promises before. Books and courses also have zero marginal costs.  

      ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

      • Agencies have less risk (and reward) than SaaS companies. They also have higher customer concentration and marginal costs. But itโ€™s a good place to start. 
      • Common paths to agency ownership include working at an agency, being an expert employee, working for a platform such as Webflow or outsourcing from day one. 
      • Agencies have high lifetime values and can justify doing sales that donโ€™t scale. Sending personalized messages, doing spec work and answering 1-on-1 questions.

      ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

      โ€œThis business model sucks.โ€
      Agencies are far from perfect. But may be underestimated. Productized services are valuable and sellable businesses. Agency owners can find valuable problems to solve with digital products, SaaS and marketplaces. Some take equity in clients.

      โ€œLocation-adjusted wages wonโ€™t last? What about timezones and culture?โ€
      Premiums can be captured based on timezone and cultural preferences. Cultural understanding matters more when writing copy versus code. Some teams are timezone agnostic. 

      ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

      ๐Ÿ”— Links

      ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

      Thanks to Matt Varughese (8020), Rick Segal (CRAAG Angel Group), Jeremy Abraham (Spiffy), Vishal Srivastava (Trainedge), Elom (Delverise), Natwar Maheshwari (Engineering Brew), Simon Daley (CodeSwaps), Kimsia Sim (GreenDeploy), Paul Martin (MusicAndBlockchain.com), Chikodi Chima (Moonshot), Vincent Haywood (Vhdigital), Lu Doan (Agent Shield), Ray Deck (Sustained Ventures), Emmanuel Vivier (HUB Institute), Ken Rossi (Liquid New York), Jose Torres (Lexia), Serbay Arda Ayzit (Contentus) and Thomas Jacquesson (Tweet Hunter). We had a great time jamming on this report.

      Access Trends Pro

      To save 2,000+ hours of market research, access all Trends Pro Reports and join our Trends Pro Community.

      ๐Ÿ“ˆ Become a Trends Pro Member

      What youโ€™ll get:

      • 6 Webflow Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 4 Branding Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 6 WordPress Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 4 Technical Writing Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 3 Shopify Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 9 Development Agencies (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 5 Predictions (150% More)
      • 11 Opportunities (120% More)
      • 6 Key Lessons (100% More)
      • 10 Links (233% More)
      • 12-minute audio episode with exclusive Micro-SaaS stories, insights and opportunities.

      With Trends Pro youโ€™ll learn:

      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How can agencies offer more services without hiring more people?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to find more leads using tools?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to leverage existing ecosystems?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who landed Chance the Rapper as a client using spec work?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why scaling up might not be the best for agencies?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are the disadvantages of value-based pricing for agencies?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What’s the biggest competitive advantage that agencies have over freelancers?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Read 9 lessons learned from growing an agency from 0 to $135k ARR in 135 days.
      • and a lot moreโ€ฆ

      Social Tokens: Use Cases, Token Platforms, Community Coins

      Animation of coins being stacked on top of each other.

      โ€œWho would you buy stock in if you could?โ€

      Get Full Access to Trends Pro

      โ“ What You’ll Learn

      • What are social tokens?
      • How are social tokens earned?
      • How are social tokens used?
      • What’s the history of social tokens?
      • Which apps help you manage social tokens?
      • What are financial and cultural on-ramps to crypto?
      • Can social tokens survive their creators?

      ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

      Social tokens give brands and fans deeper alignment.

      Shared interests become shared outcomes.

      ๐Ÿ” Problem

      Communities have shallow alignment

      ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

      Social tokens are digital assets backed by the reputation of individuals, brands and communities. 

      Alignment is emotional and financial.

      ๐Ÿ Players

      Social Tokens

      Platforms

      • Rally | Helps creators, artists and community leaders launch creator coins
      • Fyooz | Helps creators launch โ€œStar Tokensโ€
      • Roll | Helps creators mint social tokens

      Tools

      • Collab.Land | Tokenized community tools
      • Bonfire | Tools for token drops and member rewards
      • MintGate | Create token-gated content
      • SourceCred | Measure and reward value creation

      ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

      • Activist investors will do things to realize long and short positions on social tokens. Elon added Bitcoin to Teslaโ€™s balance sheet and announced that theyโ€™ll accept Bitcoin (before backpedaling). Hedge funds start rumors to realize short positions. We have crypto and TradFi (traditional finance) examples. This will bleed into social tokens. 
      • Creator coins will turn into community coins. Members will take it upon themselves to add value to networks. Social tokens will cross this chasm or perish with creators. 
      • Social tokens will be a competitive advantage for communities. Tokens will lead to more aligned groups. Incentives are underestimated. 
      • Social token manager will become a common title. Cooper Turley runs a talent agency. Jess Sloss runs SeedClub, an incubator. New form factors lead to new roles. Like DAO politicians. 

      โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

      • Build use cases for your social token. Examples include:
        • Exclusive access to goods and services ($TAPE)
        • Token-gated access to communities ($FWB)
        • Discounts on goods and services (Riddle)
        • Access to advisory services ($BLAP)
        • Token-powered jukeboxes ($BOO)
        • Signed copies of books ($JAFFE)
        • Podcast appearances ($JOW)
        • Access to group calls ($JOW)
        • Voting rights ($COBRA)
        • DM responses ($DOC)
      • Build ways for others to earn tokens. Examples include:
      • Build tools and infrastructure like BonfireCollab.Land and MintGate. Other ideas:
        • Data as a Service firm that finds fast-growing creators and communities
        • Social Token CRM to track users and experiences across tools
        • Token-gated access to in-person events
      • Build a service for social tokens. Can Cooper represent everyone? Can Jess incubate every social token? No. Weโ€™ll need more domain experts as the space grows.

      ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

      • Social tokens are aย cultural on-rampย to crypto. Alongsideย NFTs.ย Financialย andย culturalย doors lead to the same place.ย No-codeย is a gateway drug to code. Creator coins are a gateway drug to crypto.ย 
      • Art economics vs product economics. Beeple sold a $69m NFT. Could he have sold $69m worth of books, games or clothes? Yet he sold $69m of status. Art economics can turn 1000 true fans (and a few whales) into tens of millions of dollars. Instead of tens of thousands. With leaderboards, social tokens may inherit properties of both worlds.

      ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

      โ€œWhat happens when creators pass away?โ€
      Social tokens can outlive creators if they cross the chasm from creator to community coins. 

      โ€œEmotional and financial alignment comes from stocks too.โ€
      How early can you invest? Can you have a material impact on public companies? Do you feel connected to other shareholders?

      โ€œSocial tokens โ€˜over financializeโ€™ social exchanges. Some things should not be turned into market exchanges.โ€ 
      Whether youโ€™re right or wrong, this is our new normal. You can try to ignore it, learn to cope or leverage it. Creative destruction leads to good, bad and productivity gains. 

      โ€œWhat about the mental health of creators when coin values drop?โ€
      Communities can help shoulder the burden if they cross the chasm. Public CEOs deal with this now. Granted, we have thousands of public companies compared to (potentially) millions of tokens. The law of large numbers is bound to lead to horror stories. 

      โ€œThis is a fad.โ€
      We have many billion-dollar (and soon) trillion-dollar cryptocurrencies. Launched by solo founders and small teams. Each has its own culture, community and roadmap. Sound familiar? 

      โ€œThis is just like ICOs.โ€
      Most social tokens have use cases. Roll and Rally also use vesting to discourage pump and dump schemes. 

      ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

      • Personal Brands โ€ข Social tokens are backed by personal brands. Social capital is staked for financial capital.
      • Audience-First Products โ€ข Social tokens are audience-first products.
      • NFTs โ€ข The first major cultural on-ramp to crypto.
      • Drop Culture โ€ข See how status and scarcity affect perceived value. 
      • DAOs โ€ข A look at collective decision-making. 
      • DeFi โ€ข A financial on-ramp to crypto. 
      • Paid Communities โ€ข Price is more than money. Filters keep community signal high. 
      • Million-Dollar, One-Person Businesses โ€ข On highly leveraged people. 
      • Gamification โ€ข Game mechanics help you understand how to manage token supply.
      • Alternative Assets โ€ข See what else lives outside of mainstream asset classes like stocks, bonds and real estate. 
      • Profit-Sharing โ€ข On aligning incentives. And what to avoid. 
      • No-Code โ€ข Leverage moves to marketing when code is commoditized. 
      • Internet Challenges โ€ข Reward members for bringing value to the network.
      • Crowdsourcing โ€ข Encourage community-created utility. 
      • Open Startups โ€ข Exhaust data attracts employees and customers. And investors. 
      • Charter Cities โ€ข We may be more aligned with those across the world than those across the street.

      ๐Ÿ”— Links

      ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

      Thanks to Stewart Townsend (Channel as a Service), Matt Alston (Bonfire), Ethan Jones (Tools for MGMT), Jess Sloss (SeedClub), Jeremiah Owyang ($JOW), Jo-Ann Hamilton (RareBirds), Aadil Razvi (Demand Curve), Linda Xie (Scalar Capital), AJ Washington (Phlote), Vishal Srivastava (Trainedge), Gabe Quintela (KeepCool.co) and Edward Mcenrue (True Fit). We had a great time jamming on this report.


      Access Trends Pro

      To save 2,000+ hours of market research, access all Trends Pro Reports and join our Trends Pro Community.

      Become a Trends Pro Member

      What youโ€™ll get:

      • 30 Social Tokens (200% More)
      • 6 Token Platforms (100% More)
      • 9 Token Tools (125% More)
      • 9 Predictions (125% More)
      • 8 Opportunities (100% More)
      • 4 Key Lessons (100% More)
      • 11 Links (266% More)
      • 16 Related Reports (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
      • 28-minute audio episode with exclusive Social Tokens stories, insights and opportunities.

      With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are cause coins?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are bonding curves?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How are bots used to profit from social tokens?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to find hidden value?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why will power shift from platforms to creators?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who runs an NFT-gated conference?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who sells bespoke goods and services for social tokens?
      • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How does securities law treat social tokens?
      • and a lot moreโ€ฆ

      Managed Marketplaces: Vertical Marketplaces, Starting the Flywheel, Vampire Attacks

      Animation featuring part of a machine with knobs being turned

      โ€œโ€ฆthere is no reason why technology should be limited to computers. Properly understood, any new and better way of doing things is technology.โ€

      Get Full Access to Trends Pro

      โ“ What You’ll Learn

      • What’s a managed marketplace?
      • What’s marketplace liquidity?
      • How do managed marketplaces add value?
      • What are the top B2B and BC2 managed marketplaces?
      • How will AI affect managed marketplaces?

      ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

      Marketplaces are one of the most powerful business models. Theyโ€™re hard to build and hard to disrupt once liquidity is reached.

       ๐Ÿ” Problem

      Connecting buyers and sellers may not be enough for a transaction to take place. 
      Frictiondistrust and uncertainty often remain.

      ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

      Managed marketplaces do more than connect buyers and sellers. They foster transactions with services such as: 

      • Curation โ€ข Toptal connects you to the top 3% of designers, developers, data scientists and more. 
      • Ratings โ€ข Airbnb and Uber use two-way rating systems to churn bad supply and demand. This builds trust at scale. 
      • Escrow โ€ข Remodelmate collects payments from buyers and releases payments to contractors based on project milestones. 
      • Enrichment โ€ข ThredUP adds metadata to items such as size, brand, condition and more. Each detail brings transparency and value to transactions. 
      • Authentication โ€ข GOAT and StockX authenticate items to prevent counterfeiting. 
      • Inventory Risk โ€ข OpenDoor buys homes from sellers in days. Then resells them.
      • Insurance โ€ข Turo provides up to $750,000 of liability insurance for rentals.
      • Standardization โ€ข Thumbtack quizzes buyers to get project details. This saves time in providing estimates.
      • Reporting โ€ข Municibid helps municipalities follow reporting requirements around selling government property. 

      ๐Ÿ Players

      • B2C
        • Slice โ€ข Online ordering for pizzerias
        • Remodelmate โ€ข A marketplace for home renovations 
        • Preply โ€ข Find or become a language tutor
      • B2B
        • MicroAcquire โ€ข Buy and sell SaaS companies 
        • AppSumo โ€ข Lifetime deals on B2B software
        • BuySellAds โ€ข Connecting brands with publishers to place ads
        • FundStory โ€ข Find non-dilutive financing options
        • MentorPass โ€ข Matches mentors with mentees to launch and scale businesses
        • Found – Find Salesforce developers
        • Lemon.io โ€ข Find developers fast
        • Propulsion Lab โ€ข Work with no-code developers to build internal tools

      ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

      • AI will supplant supply
        • Uber drivers will be replaced by self-driving cars
        • Rev transcribers will be replaced by speech-to-text AI
        • Scripted copywriters will be replaced by AI-generated copywriting tools
      • Marketplaces will start as communitiesSwapstack built a community to help Substack writers cross-promote. Then turned to connecting writers with brands.
      • There will be more vertical marketplacesChrono24 is a vertical version of StockX, which is more managed than Ebay.

      โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

      • Solve the chicken and egg problem
      • Build your marketplace with no-code tools like Sharetribe and BubbleCode is not the hard part of building a marketplace. Building liquidity is. 
      • Start in the โ€œwhite-hotโ€ center. Find the killer app categoryAmazon launched with books. Brick and mortar stores are limited by space. Amazon sells long-tail titles.
      • Unbundle incumbents. Airbnb unbundled Craigslist. Zeus is unbundling Airbnb. 
      • Simulate liquidity. Compress activity into one category (Amazon with books), time frame (Nifty Gateway with drops) or location (Uber in SF). Donโ€™t try to boil the ocean. 

      ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

      • Marketplaces are energy-intensive endeavors. It takes a lot to start the flywheel.
      • โ€œManagedโ€ is a spectrum. Some marketplaces are more managed than others. 
      • Networks are networks are networks. There are throughlines between marketplaces, communities, currencies, languages and religions. They all have network effects. 
      • Managed marketplaces go beyond matching buyers and sellers. They assume risk to remove friction.
      • Managed marketplaces are paid for increased risk and complexity. The more โ€œmanagedโ€ a marketplace, the higher the take rate.

      ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

      โ€œIt seems like every marketplace is managed.โ€
      Most are. To some degree.

      โ€œSome of these managed marketplaces donโ€™t scale and arenโ€™t investable.โ€
      Contrary to the name, Trends.vc doesnโ€™t cater to VCs. If you donโ€™t need investors, great for you. Thatโ€™s one less stakeholder type. But many marketplaces mentioned above are billion-dollar companies. Many are scalable and investable. The audio edition talks about this. 

      โ€œOpenDoor is a reseller. Not a marketplace.โ€
      This is a valid point. We can also throw thredUP in this category. Both take enough inventory risk to call their โ€œmarketplace statusโ€ into question.

      โ€œVampire attacks are immoral.โ€
      Perhaps. But theyโ€™re everywhere. Willful ignorance is dangerous.

      ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

      • Micro-Marketplaces – See marketplaces from another angle. 
      • Growth Toolsย – More ways to solve the chicken and egg problem.ย 
      • Audience-First Products – Even more ways to solve the chicken and egg problem. 
      • DAOs – Examples of decentralized networks. 
      • DeFi – See the primitives that will replace centralized marketplaces. 
      • No-Code – More ideas to guide your no-code marketplace journey. 
      • Paid Communities – Marketplaces and communities have lots of throughlines.
      • Micro-SaaS – Focus powers micro-SaaS and vertical marketplaces. 
      • Referral Programs – Get early users to help you grow by understanding incentives. 

      ๐Ÿ”— Links

      1. Who runs a managed marketplace? โ€ข The tweet behind this report. 
      2. Hierarchy of Marketplaces โ€ข How to kickstart a marketplace, build liquidity and dominate. 
      3. Unbundling Craigslist โ€ข A map of more than 70 vertical marketplaces unbundling Craigslist.

      ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

      Thanks to Greg Berry (Municibid), Max Maeder (FoundHQ), Jake Singer (Swapstack), Philip Lakin (Propulsion Lab), Andrew Gazdecki (MicroAcquire), Kenny Hanson (MentorPass), Chikodi Chima (Moonshot), Rick Segal (CRAAG Angel Group), Stewart Townsend (Channel as a Service), Jacob Lim and Alexandre Durand-Chabert (Airparty). We had a great time jamming on this report. 

      Get Weekly Reports

      Join 65,000+ founders and investors


        ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

        Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

        ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

        ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

        ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

        ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

        ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

        What youโ€™ll get:

        • 7 B2C Players (133% More)
        • 17 B2B Players networks (112% More)
        • 3 Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) Players (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
        • 7 Predictions (133% More)
        • 11 Opportunities (120% More)
        • 9 Key Lessons (80% More)
        • 10 Links (233% More)
        • 19-minute audio episode with exclusive managed marketplace stories, insights and opportunities.

        With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are some Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) managed marketplaces?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are member-owned marketplaces?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Will technology supplant โ€œjobsโ€ done by marketplaces?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How are Airbnb and Uber churning bad supply and demand at scale?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who’s using AI to scale the “unscalable” parts of their marketplace?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How do managed marketplaces affect middlemen?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What does decentralization mean for managed marketplaces?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to kickstart and scale a marketplace business?
        • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) When is a managed marketplace no longer a marketplace?
        • and a lot more…

        AI-Generated Content: $1,000+ Logos, Algorithmic Art, Unlimited Leverage

        Animation of pixels morphing on screen to vaguely resemble faces

        โ€œBut magic is neither good nor evil. It is a tool, like a knife.โ€

        Get Full Access to Trends Pro

        โ“ What You’ll Learn

        • What is AI-Generated Content?
        • Who used AI to design and sell $1,000+ logos?
        • How to clone your voice, image and writing style?
        • Why will AI lead to more million-dollar, one-person businesses?
        • Who’s selling algorithmic art for more than $180,000,000?
        • What are virtual influencers?

        ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

        AI-generated content is being used for good and evil.
        To create conflict, incite violence and deceive. 
        To entertain, design and increase productivity. 
        AI is amoral. It amplifies intent.

        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Humans are predictably irrational. We are built to replicate. Not to reason

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        AI-generated content takes us from the era of limited to infinite leverage
        Making connections that we miss, learning faster and improving over time.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Images

        Voice

        Video

        • Rosebud AI โ€ข Create virtual characters
        • Alethea โ€ข AI-generated avatars
        • Synthesia โ€ข Create videos without actors 
        • Reface โ€ข Create face swap videos

        Text

        • GPT-3 โ€ข An advanced language model
        • IdeasAI โ€ข AI-generated startup ideas 
        • Shortly โ€ข Complete your thoughts
        • Frase.io โ€ข Create content briefs and answer questions

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • Production costs will drop. Watch David Beckham โ€œspeakโ€ nine languages.
        • Actors and artists will perform posthumously. New songs and films can be made with training data. โ€œImmortalityโ€ boosts the value of estates as alternative assets.
        • Tools likeย Synthesiaย will lead to moreย million-dollar, one-person businesses. The need to master (or understand) underlying technologies is reduced. Leading toย smaller firms.
        • Pirated personalities will be used to endorse products, narrate books and more. 

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

        • Media is being democratized. If no-code makes you a developer. AI-generated content makes you a producer.
        • Code, low-code and no-code give you limited leverage. They require direction. AI-generated content gives you unlimited leverage
        • Humans are predictably irrational. For good reason. Evolution doesnโ€™t reward rationality. It rewards replication. Irrationality isnโ€™t surprising. Itโ€™s expected.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        โ€œPhotoshop has been around for years. So what?โ€
        Doctored images fool us. Higher-fidelity fakes are more convincing.

        โ€œPeopleโ€™s likenesses will be abused.โ€
        Thatโ€™s the path weโ€™re on. Create to combat it. Whatโ€™s the blue check version of video? Will we โ€œNFTfyโ€ everything to prove authenticity?

        โ€œWhat about biases in AI?โ€
        Twitter took Tay.ai from chill to racist in one day. AI is a sponge for societyโ€™s ills. 

        โ€œDeep fake detection algorithms will protect us.โ€
        Deep fakes will improve with detection efforts. GANs model an arms race. Sensity, a deep fake detection platform, is a test layer. Pass and itโ€™s ready to release. 

        ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. A Student Used GPT-3 to Write Fake Blog Posts โ€ข An early story showing the power of GPT-3.
        2. A Russian AI โ€˜Graphic Designerโ€™ Fooled the Worldโ€ฆ for a Year โ€ข How an AI โ€œdesignerโ€ charged $1,000+ for logos. 
        3. We Recreated Joe Rogan’s Voice Using Artificial Intelligence โ€ข A look at whatโ€™s possible with voice cloning. Popular personalities will be pirated. 

        ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

        Thanks to Stewart Townsend (Channel as a Service), Uwe Dreissigacker (InvoiceBerry), ShashankLwany, Logan JohnsonAbhishek Verma (samkhya.ai), Emmanuel Simon (IdeaGarden), Sam Schrup (TextRetailer), Neeraj Hirani, Lu Doan (Not a Community), Vishal Srivastava (Trainedge), Yolanda Stephens (WomenToDone), John Bardos (IdeaEconomy.net), Daniel Wulf (Wurst Circle), Paul Martin (Lyrico) and Christophe Williams (Cedar Labs). We had a great time jamming on this report. 

        Get Weekly Reports

        Join 65,000+ founders and investors


          ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

          Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

          ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

          ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

          ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

          ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

          ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

          What you’ll get:

          • Players
            • 5 AI-generated Images (66% More)
            • 8 AI-generated Voice (166% More)
            • 8 AI-generated Video (100% More)
            • 10 AI-generated Text (150% More)
            • 2 AI-generated Music (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
            • 4 AI-generated Art (๐Ÿ“ˆ Trends Pro Exclusive)
          • 8 Predictions (100% More)
          • 8 Opportunities (100% More)
          • 8 Key Lessons (166% More)
          • 10 Links (233% More)

          With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who’s using AI to write code?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How is AI-generated content used to generate royalty-free assets?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How are artists being commoditized?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which AI-generated portrait sold for $400k?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which virtual influencer earns millions per year?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How can AI-Generated Content be used to manipulate markets?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How are deceased relatives “reading” books?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which kind of marketplace can be built around AI?
          • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Can legislation keep up with AI-generated content and its implications?
          • and a lot more…

          Charter Cities: Relocation Incentive Programs, Remote Work, Governance

          Animated illustration of a city skyline.

          โ€œYou donโ€™t have to be the victim of your environment. You can also be the architect of it.โ€

          Get Full Access to Trends Pro

          โ“ What You’ll Learn

          • What are charter cities?
          • Who has relocation incentive programs?
          • Will charter cities increase inequality, discrimination and gentrification?
          • How are charter cities and remote work related?
          • What would economists change if they ran the world?
          • Why does governance matter?

          ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

          What separated East and West Germany? Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Shantou and Xiamen from China? What separates North and South Korea?

          Governance.

          Bad laws lead to poverty.

          ๐Ÿ” Problem

          Poor governance works. For a few.

          Benefits are concentrated. Costs dispersed. 

          ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

          Charter cities are new cities with better laws.

          They go by many names: Special economic zones (Dubai Internet City), special administrative regions (Hong Kong) and countries (Singapore).

          As Tyler Cowen says: โ€œThere are a lot more charter cities than we think. Itโ€™s just that the successful ones stop looking like charter cities.โ€

          ๐Ÿ Players

          Charter Cities

          • Nkwashi โ€ข A university-anchored city under construction in Zambia. 
          • Prรณspera โ€ข A semi-autonomous zone on the island of Roatรกn. Built in partnership with Honduras. 
          • Talent City โ€ข Located in Nigeria. Itโ€™s meant to be โ€œ…free of complex socio-political or economically protectionist considerations.โ€

          Special Economic Zones

          Special Administrative Regions

          • Hong Kong โ€ข The former British Colony transferred to China in 1997. 
          • Macau โ€ข A former Portuguese colony with a separate governing system from mainland China. 
          • Sinuiju โ€ข A region of North Korea experimenting with a market economy.
          • Yogyakarta โ€ข The only recognized monarchy within the government of Indonesia.

          Organizations

          ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

          • Remote workย will lowerย switching costsย between cities. Where we work and live are being decoupled. Weโ€™ll optimize for lifestyle and physical networks over offices.ย 
          • Cities will compete for citizens. Miamiโ€™s Mayor makes a show of it. Governance options lead to more competition between jurisdictions.
          • Relocation incentive programsย will become more aggressive. See theย remote workย report with 25+ relocation incentive programs.ย 

          โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

          • Fight as few battles as possible. Consider relocating before building a new city.
          • Decide what to test. How much political autonomy do you need to:
            • Ban cars
            • Lower taxes
            • Legalize drugs
            • Reform education
            • Use ranked-choice voting
            • Institute an open container law
            • Legalize certain medical procedures
          • Start with problems, not policies. Donโ€™t fetishize charter cities or seasteading. Think from first-principles.
          • Cheaplyย try ideas. Test governance models in cruise ships,ย DAOs,ย virtual worldsย and temporary autonomous zones likeย Black Rock Cityย (Burning Man).

          ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

          • Experiments have positive expected returns. Most fail but some have asymmetric upside. We need more than 195 experiments.
          • Environment matters. Weโ€™ve seen natural experiments where culture, geography and other variables are controlled. Governance tips the scale.
          • Evolution needs variation and selection to work. We need more governance options and the ability to vote with our feet.

          ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

          โ€œLots of charter cities have failed.โ€
          โ€œThere are a lot more charter cities than we think. Itโ€™s just that the successful ones stop looking like charter cities.โ€ The same goes for no-code tools like WordPress. We move goalposts.

          โ€œCharter cities will be unequal.โ€
          We donโ€™t need charter cities for that. โ€œEconomic development specializes functions, differentiates abilities, and makes men unequally valuable to their group.โ€ โ€”Will Durrant

          โ€œCharter cities will discriminate.โ€
          We donโ€™t need charter cities for that either. Teams behind relocation incentive programs run competitive screening processes to decide who receives thousands of dollars to relocate. 

          โ€œThis will lead to gentrification.โ€
          Most organizations focus on greenfield cities. Those who donโ€™t could argue that unshared upside, not gentrification, is the issue.

          โ€œEast and West Germany. SEZs in China. The difference was a market economy. Thatโ€™s low-hanging fruit. Now what?โ€
          I asked lots of people: โ€œWhat would you change about your city?โ€ Everyone had answers. 

          โ€œWhat about seasteading?โ€
          We covered it. Costs need to drop, political issues need resolutions, thereโ€™s a quality of life question and practical things like wave breaks

          ๐Ÿ“ Related Reports

          ๐Ÿ”— Links

          1. What would the world look like if economists were in charge? โ€ข A list of changes economists would make from legalizing drugs to removing the minimum wage.
          2. Building the Network State โ€ข Weโ€™ve ceded power to Gods, nation-states and now networks.
          3. Citizens Vote With Their Feet โ€ข On the importance of choice.

          ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

          Thanks to Katelyn Donnelly (Avalanche VC), Yolanda Stephens (WomenToDone), Anthony Castrio (Indie Worldwide), ChrisNatwar Maheshwari (Mailchimp), Michael Houck (Launch House), Yashar NejatiEdmund Amoye (I Want This to Exist), Logan JohnsonVic and Tom Bonin. We had a great time jamming on this report. 

          Get Weekly Reports

          Join 65,000+ founders and investors


            ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

            Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

            ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

            ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

            ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

            ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

            ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

            What youโ€™ll get:

            • 5 Charter cities (66% More)
            • 10 Special Economic Zones (100% More)
            • 7 Special Administrative Regions (75% More)
            • 10 Organizations (150% More)
            • 5 Predictions (66% More)
            • 8 Opportunities (100% More)
            • 8 Key Lessons (66% More)
            • 10 Links (233% More)

            With Trends Pro youโ€™ll learn:

            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to start a charter city?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who’s crowdfunding an island?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why should you start with an existing city?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Other than governance, what matters?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to cap your downside?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why will it become easier to build charter cities?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to avoid the multiple-miracle problem?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to align incentives with host states?
            • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who tried to build a cruise ship community?
            • and a lot more…

            Low-Code: Leverage, Tools, Security

            “Civilization advances by extending the number of operations we can perform without thinking about them.”

            Get Full Access to Trends Pro

            โ“ What You’ll Learn

            • Whatโ€™s low-code?
            • Whatโ€™s the low-pro movement?
            • How to reduce internal dependencies?
            • Howโ€™s low-code related to million-dollar, one-person businesses?
            • How is DeFi (Decentralized Finance) related to low-code?
            • Will low-code eliminate developer jobs?

            ๐Ÿ’Ž Why It Matters

            Low-code lets us focus on unique problems. Leading toย leverageย andย specialization. The same forces behindย million-dollar, one-person businesses.ย 

            ๐Ÿ” Problem

            Reinventing the wheel wastes time.

            ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

            Use low-code tools to solve non-unique problems. 
            Focus on what you do best. Let WordPress, Stripe, Shopify, AWS and others do the same. 

            ๐Ÿ Players

            Platforms

            • Shopify โ€ข Build online stores
            • Heroku โ€ข Deploy and manage apps
            • Webflow โ€ข Build websites

            Tools

            • Retool โ€ข Build internal tools
            • TextRetailer โ€ข Shop by text
            • Bildr โ€ข Build full-stack web applications
            • Kelp โ€ข Build interactive, data-driven apps
            • MavenCart โ€ข Host ecommerce stores

            APIs

            • ScrapingBee โ€ข Scraping API
            • Segment โ€ข Collect and manage customer data
            • Plaid โ€ข Connect financial accounts

            Frameworks

            Libraries

            • OpenCV โ€ข Computer vision
            • TensorFlow โ€ข Create and evaluate ML models
            • Moment.js โ€ข Manage dates and times in JavasScript

            ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

            • โ€œFull-codeโ€ is here to stay. Low-code tools allow developers to work on new problems. We can build brain-computer interfaces instead of CRUD apps.
            • Lawyers, accountants and other professionals will be impacted by low-code-like phenomena. Low-law (Termly), low-accounting (TurboTax) and low-podcast-editing (Descript) are on the rise. This is a low-pro movement.
            • DeFi will embrace low-code. Token standards (ERC20ERC721) โ€œensureโ€ security. Billions of dollars staked in standards are implied, uncaptured bug bounties. 

            โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

            • Build the first version of your app with no/low-code tools. Shoutout started on Bubble.
            • Equip non-engineering teams (marketers, product managers and customer support) with low-code tools to reduce internal dependencies. Tara Reed did this at Google. 
            • Use low-code tools to help businesses. See Clutch Software and Anything as a Service (XaaS).
            • Democratize new form factors. Wine Text sends daily deals via SMSTextRetailer gives anyone the ability to run daily deals.

            ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

            • Focus on what you do best. Donโ€™t rebuild AWS, Twilio or Stripe. Use them. Innovate on another front.
            • Thereโ€™s a tradeoff between customization and abstraction. Low-code is โ€œopinionated.โ€

            ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

            โ€œYou canโ€™t build everything with low-code.โ€
            Sure. That which can be. Should be. Work on unique problems. 


            โ€œThis isnโ€™t customizable.โ€
            Itโ€™s all relative. Abstraction isnโ€™t free. Nothing is. 

            โ€œThis will take developer jobs.โ€
            Developers will work on unique problems. See creative destruction.


            โ€œFunctions, libraries, frameworks and APIs are not low-code.โ€
            Each is an abstraction. i.e. Low(er)-code

            ๐Ÿ”— Links

            1. Trends #0033 โ€” No-Code โ€ข Low-code tools are less abstract versions of no-code tools. 
            2. Trends #0027 โ€” Million-Dollar, One-Person Businesses โ€ข On the power of leverage
            3. Creative Destruction โ€ข The net-positive process that prevents stagnation.

            ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

            Thanks to Curtis Cummings (Shoutout), Ben Church (Pull Checklist), Nile Frater (Concrete Capital), Tyler King (Less Annoying CRM), Mark Magnuson (Bildr), Andrew Swiler (Clutch Software), Joshua Schultz (Clutch Software), Drew Thomas (Bildr), Pravin Kumar (Mavencart), Gene Maryushenko (Swipe), Rick Lindquist (LegUpHealth), Jeremy Abraham (Spiffy), Emmett ArmstrongStewart Townsend (Channel as a Service) and Ivan Zografski. We had a great time jamming on this report. 

            Get Weekly Reports

            Join 65,000+ founders and investors


              ๐Ÿ“ˆ Unlock Pro Reports, 1:1 Intros and Masterminds

              Become a Trends Pro Member and join 1,200+ founders enjoying…

              ๐Ÿง  Founder Mastermind Groups โ€ข To share goals, progress and solve problems together, each group is made up of 6 members who meet for 1 hour each Monday.

              ๐Ÿ“ˆ 100+ Trends Pro Reports โ€ข To make sense of new markets, ideas and business models, check out our research reports.

              ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1:1 Founder Intros โ€ข Make new friends, share lessons and find ways to help each other. Keep life interesting by meeting new founders each week.

              ๐Ÿง Daily Standups โ€ข Stay productive and accountable with daily, async standups. Unlock access to 1:1 chats, masterminds and more by building standup streaks.

              ๐Ÿ’ฒ 100k+ Startup Discounts โ€ข Get access to $100k+ in startup discounts on AWS, Twilio, Webflow, ClickUp and more.

              What you’ll get:

              • 11 Platforms (266% More)
              • 21 Tools (320% More)
              • 10 APIs (233% More)
              • 12 Frameworks (300% More)
              • 10 Libraries (233% More)
              • 5 Predictions (66% More)
              • 9 Opportunities (125% More)
              • 4 Key Lessons (100% More)
              • 10 Links (233% More)

              With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Whatโ€™s the future of low-code?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who pays $400 million per year for a low-code tool?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which force threatens the low-code movement?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to build low-code growth tools?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to use low-code tools to boost productivity
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Whoโ€™s using low-code tools to build a Data-as-a-Service company?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are citizen developers?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why do top developers embrace low-code tools?
              • and a lot more…

              Paid Communities: Community-as-a-Service, User-Generated Content, Reverse Network Effects

              This is the free version of Trends PRO #0045 โ€” Paid Communities

              Get Full Access to Trends Pro

              โ“ What You’ll Learn

              • Who offers community-as-a-service?  
              • How to build a high-signal environment? 
              • How to solve the chicken and egg problem?
              • Why do rituals matter?
              • How to use gamification?

              ๐Ÿ” Problem

              Free communities tend to be noisy without a barrier to entry.

              ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

              Paid communities use strategic friction to build high-signal environments.

              Members are invested and engaged.

              Community builders are aligned with members and able to invest in great experiences.

              ๐Ÿ Players

              Paid Communities

              Tools

              Platforms

              ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

              โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

              • Build an audience first. Start with a newsletter, podcast or YouTube channel. Audience-to-community solves the chicken and egg problem. Trends.vc reached 20,000+ subscribers before Trends Tribe meetups were launched.
              • Craft a mission statement. See Compound’s Manifesto.
                • Why do you gather?
                • What’s your mission?
                • What are your core values?
                • What problems do you solve together?
              • Use challenges to gamify success. Launch MBA members produce 12 products in 12 months.
              • Create rituals. Host standups, meetups, co-building sessions and retreats to form bonds and productive habits. Trends Pro Members build compounding relationships in daily standups.
              • Leverage user-generated content. Hundreds of people Tweet using #100DaysOfNoCode. Bringing attention to the community.
              • Nurture one-on-one connections to build a stronger community. Trends Pro Members have weekly one-on-ones along with daily standups.
              • Build growth tools to draw members into your paid community. See the No-Code Marketplace directory, toolkit and book.

              ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

              • Price is multi-dimensional. Compound requires you to submit your best writing to apply. This is non-monetary friction.
              • Paid community members have skin in the game. Investment limits noise and boosts engagement.
              • You’re the average of the 5 people you surround yourself with. Paid communities raise the average.
              • Beware of reverse network effects. Scale changes everything. Especially niche communities. Engagement drops as communities grow.

              ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

              “You already covered this.”
              Yes and I’ve covered No-Code, Bootstrap Funds and Micro Private Equity more than once. There’s still more to learn.

              “Most of these communities are online.”
              Google jiu-jitsu, church, country club or university if you’re looking for offline paid communities.

              “Some online paid communities are built without an audience.”
              Cold outreach, personal networks and borrowed credibility can work.

              “Paid communities are exclusionary.”
              Yes. So are “free” communities. You can’t pay to become a Navy SEAL but the price can be your life. Price is more than money.

              “What about community fatigue?”
              Fatigue is a forcing function for quality. The same goes for newsletters.

              ๐Ÿ”— Links

              1. What’s your favorite paid community? โ€ข The tweet behind this report.
              2. Turning an Audience Into a Community โ€ข Girls’ Night In went from a newsletter to a community.
              3. Come for the tool, stay for the network โ€ข How to overcome the chicken and egg problem.

              ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

              Thanks to Kieran Ball (Launch MBA), Max Haining (100 Days of No Code), Stew Fortier (Compound), Yaro Bagriy (Newsletter Crew), Jeremy Au HF (Monk’s Hill Ventures), Rick Lindquist (LegUpHealth), Logan Johnson, Aadil Maan (Nike), Marek Janetzke, Jose Bermejo (Startup Builder), Paul Martin (Integrity Music), Janel Loi (Newsletter OS) and Vikrant Duggal (Consulting Club). We had a great time jamming on this report. 

              Access Trends Pro

              Toย save 2,000+ hoursย of market research, access allย Trends Pro Reportsย and join ourย Trends Pro Community.

              Become a Trends Pro Member

              What you’ll get:

              • 35 Paid Communities (191% More)
              • 21 Tools (250% More)
              • 33 Tools for Presales (371% More)
              • 7 Predictions (133% More)
              • 14 Opportunities (100% More)
              • 8 Key Lessons (100% More)
              • 10 Summarized Links (233% More)

              With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which communities have their own cryptocurrencies
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to borrow credibility to build your community? 
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to boost engagement
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Whoโ€™s earning $450k/yr from a job board? 
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Why does decentralized leadership matter? 
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to use non-monetary friction
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to find community-member fit
              • and a lot more…


              Digital Products: Micro-Economies, Subscriptions, Scale

              This is the free version of Trends PRO #0040 โ€” Digital Products

              Get Full Access to Trends Pro

              ๐Ÿ” Problem

              We need your knowledge and experience. But providing 1:1 help doesn’t scale.

              ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

              You can help at scale with digital products. While divorcing your time and money.

              ๐Ÿ Players

              ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

              • More products will launch into micro-economies. Think Notion, Webflow, Figma and Canva. Million-dollar businesses, like Elegant Themes, are built on WordPress.
              • More people will combine community with digital products. This leads to network effects and members learning from each other. Makerpad combines community with tutorials.
              • Dynamic digital products will become common. See STACK$, a live Airtable database by Michael Gill. Notion docs will join the fray once Notion’s API is released.

              โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

              • Build an audience first. This forces you to understand prospective customers, lowers your customer acquisition costs and leads to repeatable sales. Jack Butcher compounds his audience between courses, community, planners and wallpapers.
              • Add a community to your digital product. This curbs piracy and allows members to learn from each other. See Flowmingo from Mackenzie Child.
              • Get ideas on what to build next from your community. The introductions channel in Trends Pro reveals that most members use Notion. Should there be a Notion-themed Deal of the Week? ๐Ÿ‘€
              • Presell to gauge demand and boost urgency with presell pricing. Failory used presell pricing for the Product-Market Fit book.
              • Borrow trust and attention from affiliates. Leverage influencers and platforms like AppSumo or (shameless plug) Trends.vc โ€” Deal of the Week.
              • Establish predictable and compounding revenue with subscriptions. See Product Explorer, Egghead and Code with Mosh.

              ๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

              • Digital products give you leverage. As Naval says, “Fortunes require leverage. Business leverage comes from capital, people, and products with no marginal cost of replication (code and media).”
              • Build a value ladder. Have a free offer and others that gradually increase in price.
              • Build a content ladder. Make the simplest version of your product first. Learn and iterate fast.
              • Every business model has a weakness. Most digital products have unpredictable revenue. Services have high marginal costs. Most SaaS businesses have no moat. Thereโ€™s no free lunch. Pick your pain. Then stack business models to hedge the downsides.

              ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

              “Lots of people succeed without an audience.”
              Yes. And this is a riskier proposition. You depend on virality and your ability to capture some of that momentum and convert eyeballs into an audience for repeatable sales. Max Rand writes about how he reached #2 on Product Hunt without an audience.

              “What about doing direct sales?”
              This works. But your LTV has to justify it. And do you have leverage if you can’t sell at scale?

              “What if someone steals my idea or pirates my product?”
              Content is a magnet. Community is a moat.

              “What about subscription fatigue?”
              Subscriptions don’t make sense for every product. Fatigue forces quality up.

              “You missed digital product categories.”
              Chances are, you can find them in Trends Pro.

              ๐Ÿ”— Links

              ๐Ÿ™ Thanks

              Thanks to Jose Bermejo (The Startup Builder), Mark Bowley (Tiny Design Lessons), Mackenzie (Flowmingo), Marie Poulin (Notion Mastery), Len Markidan (Podia), Alex Pethick (Nutriso), Tem (Optemization), Max Rand (Startup Growth Kit), Nicolรกs Cerdeira (Failory), Gene (Swipe Page), Janel Loi (Newsletter Operating System), Ash (Bad Unicorn), Yarty Kim (Kick Ass Letters), Traf (Super.so), Doc Williams (Build with Me) and Ben Issenmann (Supercreative). We had a great time jamming on this report.

              Access Trends Pro

              Toย save 2,000+ hoursย of market research, access allย Trends Pro Reportsย and join ourย Trends Pro Community.

              Become a Trends Pro Member

              What you’ll get:

              • 17 Types of Digital Products (240% More)
              • 81 Digital Products (224% More)
              • Predictions (100% More)
              • 17 Opportunities (183% More)
              • Key Lessons (100% More)
              • 10 Summarized Links (233% More)

              With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to build your value ladder
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to build a micro-monopoly
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to crowdsource your digital product? 
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to boost your average order value?
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to reduce market risk and improve your odds of success
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) What are the benefits of niching
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to boost perceived value
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to use digital products to build an email list
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to bundle with yourself?  
              • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How can digital products help SaaS businesses? 
              • PLUS a 25-minute episode on this report
              • and a lot more…