Audience-First Products: Moats, Founding Influencers, Optionality

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๐Ÿ” Problem

You need to understand and reach customers.

๐Ÿ’ก Solution

Build trust before you build products.

๐Ÿ Players

ProductTypeSource
LetterDropAggregatorKP
UserlistSaaSJane Portman & Benedikt Deicke
Bite-Size PythonBookApril Speight
Earnest CapitalFundTyler Tringas
The Tim Ferriss ShowPodcastTim Ferriss
Power-Up PodcastingCoursePat Flynn
GrouponMarketplaceThePoint.com
Chicken + BeerRestaurantLudacris
Virginia BlackLiquorDrake
Roc Nation SportsAgencyJay-Z
Ministry of TestingCommunityRosie Sherry

๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

  • Choose your channel and build an audience. Use YouTube, Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram or Facebook. But don’t stop there. To reduce platform risk, use these as funnels. Not destinations.
  • Get feedback from your audience. Failory surveys subscribers to find pain points. Bram Kanstein used Twitter to get 135 pre-launch subscribers. Kalo Yankulov used a blog to get $4,000 in pre-sales. (Via Nico)
  • Leverage your audience to find investors, suppliers and employees. Ben Tossell uses Twitter to find customers and hire. Now he’s raising a fund.
  • Use an audience-first approach to find your dream job. Iheanyi (Github) and April (Microsoft) have audiences, optionality and side hustles. Social profiles are replacing resumes.
  • Use gamification to grow your audience. Pieter Levels gained more than 10,000 followers with a giveaway. See the Makerpad Challenge.

๐Ÿ”‘ Key Lessons

  • Audience-building is a forcing function to find and understand customers.
  • Your audience is your moat.
  • An audience gives you optionality. You can sell products, raise funds, hire employees, get jobs, endorsements, affiliates and more.

๐Ÿ˜  Haters

“This isn’t new.”
Common knowledge isn’t common practice.

“You mention agencies, restaurants and conferences. These are not products.”
๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ Use your imagination.

“If I build it, they will come.”
Tell that to Stephen King. Who wrote under a pen name in relative obscurity. Until his identity was revealed. Audience outweighs product.

This doesn’t always work.”
Indeed. There are broke celebrities. Blame execution not efficacy.

“What if I build the wrong audience?”
Start with the end in mind. Who do you want to help? Who do you enjoy spending time with? Educate or entertain them.

“Is paid acquisition useless?”
No. Use it for validation. And arbitrage opportunities. Not for survival. Unit economics change fast when you bid for attention.

Gamification only attracts those who want prizes. Not my product.”
Make your product the prize.

๐Ÿ”— Links

  1. On Linear Commerce โ€ข Media and commerce are merging.
  2. 12 Startups in 12 Months โ€ข Pieter Levels built an audience by building in public.
  3. My Journey From Quitting My Job to Building 7 Apps and $1,000+ MRR โ€ข Andrey Azimov followed in Pieter’s footsteps.

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    With Trends Pro you’ll learn:

    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How to build an audience using others’ expertise
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which founder reached a $1,000,000 run rate with $0 in ad spend? 
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Which approach is more effective than podcasts and newsletters?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) Who used an audience-first approach to launch workshops, job boards and DTC brands?
    • (๐Ÿ“ˆ Pro) How can your audience help even if they don’t buy your product? 
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    • with your audience? 
    • and a lot moreโ€ฆ 

    Drop Culture: Manufacturing Scarcity, Financial Derivatives, Blind Auctions

    This is the free version of Trends PRO #0026 โ€” Drop Culture

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    ๐Ÿ” Problem

    We are status seeking monkeys, as Eugene Wei says.

    ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

    Brands manufacture scarcity (and status) to drive sales.

    Constricting supply amplifies word of mouth. Everyone talks. Those who were able to get it, missed it and hate it. They spread the word.

    Drop culture has moved from fashion to software and experiences.

    ๐Ÿ Players

    Products

    Brands

    Platforms

    ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

    • Influencers will hoard items, influence culture then release them for profit. The song, RAF, made Raf Simmons’ items skyrocket in value. What if A$AP Rocky bought pieces before releasing the song?
    • ETFs and financial derivatives will form around streetwear. StockX holds IPOs (Initial Product Offerings). Some users trade items without taking possession.
    • Platforms will get unbundled. Chrono24 exists outside of watch categories on StockX and eBay.

    โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

    • Become a reseller. Brands must create scarcity for drops. Unmet demand is your margin. Convert access into capital.
    • Use drop notifications to get emails, phone numbers and downloads. You can text 917-540-3113 or download the MSCHF app for alerts. Cryptocurrency airdrops use a similar strategy.
    • Post items on Instagram and run blind auctions via DMs. Take the best price.
    • Drop access to your paid community. The Book of Resale randomly opens spots in the group. (From a Trends Pro, Ethan Jones)
    • Manufacture scarcity. Create an imbalance of supply and demand. Don’t have a large audience? Constrict supply even more. A stadium is scarce for Taylor Swift. Your version may be a tiny desk.
    • Weave items into stories. Michael Jordan’s “Flu Game” shoes fetched $104,000. Sell items featured in your YouTube, Instagram and TikTok (๐Ÿคž) videos. Let your audience own part of the story.
    • Reverse engineer product market fit and make scarcity a side effect. Accept ideal users. Put others on a waiting list.

    ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

    “This is exclusionary.”
    That’s the point. Drops fail without scarcity. They also subsidize art for the masses.

    “It’s not all about status.”
    Some of us find streetwear, art and experiences interesting without artificial scarcity. But this report is about drop culture. And those drawn to hype.

    ๐Ÿ”— Links

    1. A Walk with Mr. MSCHF โ€” A rare interview with Gabe Whaley, founder of MSCHF.
    2. StockX’s Josh Luber โ€” Get the origin story and vision of StockX.
    3. 7 Marketing Lessons From Drop Culture โ€” Find out why drops work.
    4. How Two Sneaker Moguls Are Bringing Drop Culture to the Whiskey World โ€” A duo uses drop culture to sell whisky for $185 per bottle.
    5. Reinventing the Resell โ€” A argumentative passionate panel represents different perspectives in drop culture. From marketplaces to manufacturing and retail.

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      Digital Products: Validating Demand, Value Ladders, Piracy

      This is the free version of Trends PRO #0022 Digital Products

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      ๐Ÿ” Problem

      Selling time doesn’t scale.

      ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

      Digital products, like eBooks, courses and fonts, allow you to help at scale. You can build once, sell twice, as Jack Butcher says.

      ๐Ÿ Players

      Products

      NameCreatorType
      Maker Minions WorkshopMichael GillCourse
      Your Productized Consulting GuideJane PortmaneBook
      Substation ThemeDan RowdenGhost Theme
      Bite-Size PythonApril SpeighteBook
      DrracMartin RydenCarrd Theme
      Profitable NewslettersChris OsborneCourse
      Zero to SoldArvid KahleBook
      4 Week Bariatric DietKristin WillardMeal Plan
      The Standout DeveloperRandall KannaeBook
      ScrapbookKacper StaniulAirtable Database
      SEO Cheat-SheetBenas LeonaviciuseBook
      React for Data VisualizationSwizec TellerCourse
      ORBITALKyle BeatsDrum Kit
      EcoShotStuart PowelleBook
      Simple SlidesPaul BurkePowerPoint Slides
      Build Once, Sell TwiceJack ButcherCourse
      FRIENDLY AMBITIOUS NERDVisakan VeerasamyeBook
      Standard Financial ModelTaylor DavidsonSpreadsheet
      The $10K Website ProcessRan SegallCourse
      Marketing for DevelopersJustin JacksoneBook and Course
      Imposter SyndromePete CodeseBook
      PLAN 915-8Tumbleweed Tiny House CompanyHouse Plan
      No-Code MVPBram KansteinCourse
      Watercolor TeacherKristi DominguezPrintables
      100 Business ModelsGennaro CuofanoeBook
      McDonnell Douglas FA-18C HornetDmitriy Sidelev3D Model
      Better SheetsAndrew KampheyCourse
      Twitter for No-CodersJens LennartssoneBook
      Font PersonalityTaughnee Stone Goluboviฤ‡Swipe File
      No Code MBASeth Kramer
      Course
      Drinking Board GameCatAndBruPrintable Board Game

      ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

      • The line will blur between digital and physical products. Platforms like Printful and Printify allow you to turn digital products into mugs, shirts, 3D printed parts, paintings, stickers and more.
      • Digital product platforms will be unbundled. Look at sites like BeatStars, Houseplans and MyFonts. Individual platforms will be built to sell swipe files, spreadsheets or printables. The same happened with Craigslist.

      โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

      • Build an audience to learn about customers needs. Start a newsletter or podcast. Leverage your audience from YouTube, Twitter, Instagram and beyond.
      • Presell to verify demand. This will force you to clarify what you are building. Those who pre-purchase can offer feedback.
      • Offer early bird pricing. Reward early supporters with discounted prices.
      • Leverage niche communities for distribution. Answer questions and support others on platforms like Indie Hackers, Reddit and Product Hunt.
      • Build a content ladder to validate demand. Start with tweets and blog posts. Then move to books and courses. You can save time if early content does not resonate.
      • Combine digital products with paid communities to curb piracy and unpredictable revenue. Community can’t be pirated.
      • Allow “lifetime access” to courses and databases to boost perceived value. This translates into real value if you provide updates.
      • Build a value ladder. Have a foot-in-the-door offer that delivers massive value. This builds trust. Happy customers are more likely to make larger purchases.
      • Read the report on online courses if you want to make a course.
      • Build a digital product fast by curating. Create a swipe file of great UI designs, cold emails or landing page copy.

      ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

      “What about piracy?”
      Every business model has weaknesses. Digital products suffer from piracy and unpredictable revenue. Niche communities have reverse network effects. Agencies have high marginal costs. Most SaaS businesses have no moat. There’s no free lunch. Pick your pain. Then stack business models to hedge the downsides.

      “Digital product is a euphemism for information product.”
      Nice try ๐Ÿ˜‰ Information products include eBooks and courses. Digital products also include WordPress themes, typefaces, comics, floor plans and 3D models.

      “You didn’t include apps.”
      I excluded apps and subscription products to control the scope of this report.

      ๐Ÿ”— Links

      1. Leverage Information โ€ข How to leverage knowledge from your current field to create digital products.
      2. The Ladders of Wealth Creation โ€ข A classic post on improving the quality of your income over time.
      3. Open Report โ€ข 8 months of sales and expenses from Daniel Vassallo.
      4. Creating Passive Income with Digital Products โ€ข How Jen Wagner makes money by selling fonts.

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        Angel Investing: Syndicates, Belief Capital, Investment Pre-Mortems

        This is the free version of Trends PRO #0018 Angel Investing

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Founders need early believers, advice, networks and capital.

        Most investors wait on the sidelines until traction is clear.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Angel investors are early believers. They invest in founders with billion dollar ideas and expect for most to fail.

        It’s counterintuitive. You can profitably lose 9 out of 10 bets if the winner returns 30x.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Angel Investors

        Angel-Funded

        Syndicate Leads

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • More investors will expect founders to have a product ‘in the wild’ before investing. This signals resourcefulness. Especially for non-technical founders. No-code tools lower the barrier to entry.
        • More influencers will get paid in equity. Joe Rogan got a stake in Onnit in exchange for promotion. This strategy aligns long-term interests with influencers.

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        For Angel Investors

        • Build a personal brand for proprietary deal flow. Make it clear how you help founders: expertise, network, audience, etc.
        • Start a blog, podcast, newsletter and stay active on Twitter. Widen your luck surface area and stay top of mind for founders.
        • Keep an investment decision journal. Angel investing has slow feedback loops. This gives us time to fool ourselves about why we did or didnโ€™t invest. Journals lock thoughts in time and keep us honest.
        • Avoid the risk of ruin. Most suggest limiting angel investments to 5-10% of your net worth. Naval Ravikant says don’t get into angel investing to make money because you probably won’t. 
        • Do investment premortems. Ask yourself, “If this investment fails, why did it?” Negative visualization helps mitigate/identify the riskiest parts of a deal. (Thanks to Leon Lin for this link)
        • Write fantasy investment deal memos before you start investing. This is how Vedika Jain landed at Weekend Fund. VCs do this too.

        For Founders

        • Take some money off the table and join a syndicate. Angel investors hedge risk but most founders don’t.
        • Keep a decision journal. This helps you find patterns, identify bias and improve your decisions.
        • Build an audience first. Leverage your reach to build a startup and raise capital.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “How dare you write this?! Are you an angel investor?”
        Not yet.
        And that almost stopped me. But I have a growth mindset. You should try it. ๐Ÿ˜‰

        “You forgot some angels.”
        AngelList has more than 42,000 investors on the platform. The Center for Venture Research estimated that there were 258,000 active angel investors in 2017.

        Trends.vc is known for brevity.

        Furthermore, some venture capitalists are mistaken for angel investors. What’s the difference? VCs take less risk, have LPs, invest bigger checks at later stages and move with teams instead of solo or syndicates. Let me know if you’re interested in a report on VCs.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. Angel: How to Invest in Technology Startups (Jason Calacanis)
          • Invest in founders. “Would you buy stock in this person?”
          • Start with syndicates and small checks.
          • Negotiate pro rata and information rights.
        2. How to Be an Angel Investor (Paul Graham)
          • Start with syndicates.
          • Understand dilution and valuations.
          • Understand what makes a good founder.
        3. How to Be an Angel Investor (NavalRavikant and BabakNivi)
          • Think of yourself as a patron of innovation.
          • Balance your portfolio with ultra-safe investments.
          • Investing in groups makes for better decision making.
        4. Memo โ€” YC provides great questions to ask yourself as a founder.
        5. The Underrated Types of Capital That No One Is Talking About โ€” KP looks at intangible benefits that angel investors offer founders. Beyond financial capital. They offer belief capital.

        Open Startups: Exhaust Data, Transparency, Open Makers

        On the surface this is about open startups. It’s really about a lot more. Another name? How to Profit from Transparency.

        This is the free version of Trends PRO #0015 โ€” Open Startups

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Startups have to cut through noise to stay top of mind for customers. And prospective employees.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Open startups tell a story (mostly) with exhaust data

        Revenuepage viewssalaries and more. Data generated from business activities.

        This is a marketing strategy. Not only for customers. But prospective employees.

        In 2013, Buffer listed staff salaries publicly. Job applications doubled. Jumping to 2,886 from the 1,263 they received 30 days prior.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Open Startups

        Open Makers

        Makers sharing metrics and stories.

        Open Platforms

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. Transparency โ€” This TED radio hour episode tells stories of transparency. Covering everything from salaries to CIA operations.
        2. The End of Asymmetric Information โ€” Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok take a deep dive into information problems and their effects.
        3. Doubling Down Instead of Shutting Down โ€” Nathan Barry is the founder and CEO of ConvertKit. In an interview with Eric Siu, he said “…another important thing for us is storytelling. I want you to buy ConvertKit not just because it’s the best tool for your business. I want you to buy because of the team and the story and who we are and what we’re building.”
        4. ‘100% copycat’ โ€” Pierre de Wulf, co-founder of ScrapingBee, tweets about downside of sharing numbers. This is why moats matter.
        5. Research: Gender Pay Gaps Shrink When Companies Are Required to Disclose Them โ€” Denmark required companies over 35 employees to disclose gender wage gaps and the gap to shrunk to 7% from 17.5% between 2003 to 2008.


        Paid Communities: Membership Tools, Hyperniche Communities, Lowering Churn

        This is the free version of Trends PRO #0014 โ€” Paid Communities

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Free communities tend to be noisy without a barrier to entry.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Paid communities have requirements, financial or otherwise.

        As Derek Sivers says, the higher the price, the more they value it. 

        Barriers change these groups. Members are more engaged. They aim to justify their investments. Not fuck around or troll.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Paid Communities

        Membership Tools

        Platforms

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • Tools like sharedthis.email will make it easy to pirate paid newsletters. This will accelerate the move towards content-based communities.
        • Communities will be built on exhaust data. Fitbit leaderboards track your steps and update your friends in the background. Open Startup dashboards track revenue and update the world. What’s next? A community built on continuous glucose monitors? A business community tracking Stripe, Google Analytics and ConvertKit dashboards for signs that you need help?
        • Hyperniche media companies will be best positioned for paid communities. Social networks have network effects. Paid communities have reverse network effects. Think Farnam Street versus Facebook. 

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        • Don’t use money as the only filter for your paid community. Price is more than money. It’s time, risk, sacrifice.
          • eCommerceFuel is $99 per month. Members must own a 7-figure eCommerce business and have “deep operational experience.”
          • Everything Marketplaces is $49 per month. Members must “actually operate & know marketplaces.”
          • Makerpad is $600 for lifetime membership. Membership is invite-only and a max of 30 invites are sent each Friday.
        • Build a paid community from your blog, podcast or newsletter audience. The founders of Traffic Think Tank and Web Smith (founder of 2pm) used this strategy to build paid communities. We discussed the content-to-community playbook in Trends #0011 โ€” Paid Newsletters.
        • Add gamification to boost engagement and lower churn. Moz Community rewards members with MozPoints. These are redeemed for profile upgrades, t-shirts, tickets to MozCon and more.
        • Have a founding member launch. Use the launch to shape the culture of your community. Offer early members great prices. The Visualize Value community was $19 for lifetime membership. Now it’s $99 per year.
        • Track the NPS and KPIs for your community. Diana Tower spoke with James Schramko about the importance of collecting qualitative and quantitative feedback from community members.
        • Host guest AMA sessions. Online Geniuses featured Courtland Allen, Gary Vaynerchuk and Guy Kawasaki.
        • Think twice before building a paid community with Facebook groups. We discussed platform risk in Trends #0012 โ€” Micro Private Equity.
        • Have shared struggles. Members will justify the struggle (price) to themselves. See fraternity initiation and military bootcamps. Look into commitment and consistency bias.
        • Create a group identity. Give your community a name, develop a language and have swag. Pat Flynn has Team Flynn. Their slogan is “Team Flynn for the win.” And you can buy a shirt with the slogan.
        • Have a questionnaire for new members. Use this to learn more about your members and create an intro for them. You can eventually trace member success back to patterns in the questionnaire. Superhuman engineered product-market fit with questionnaires. You can engineer community-member fit.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “All paid communities are not online.”
        Sure. WeWork Labs, Switchyards and Renzo Gracie Academy are offline paid communities.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. How to Build and Profit from a Hyperlocal Community Site โ€” Katy Katz and Sean Jackson talk about the power of hyperlocal (or hyperniche) communities and how to build them.
        2. Come for the tool, stay for the network โ€” Chris Dixon explains how networks like Delicious and Instagram were built on single-player tools. This is reminiscent Stu McLaren‘s saying that people come for the content and stay for the community. Single-player tools can become multiplayer networks.
        3. From Audiences to Communities โ€” Web Smith tracks his journey from newsletter to community. This intersects with insights from Chris and Stu.
        4. The Rise of Private Communities โ€” Steve Pavlina explains why we should opt for paid communities. He notes that they are full of engaged doers. This is an excellent, in-depth piece. Take into account: He has a paid community.
        5. My Paid Mastermind Experiment. Is It Worth It? โ€” Omar Zenhom echos Steve Pavlina in this episode in 1211 of $100 MBA. He compares his experience in free masterminds to his experience in paid masterminds. Omar also has a paid community.



        Online Courses: Superstar Instructors, $140k Before Launching, Distribution

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Live lessons from world-class instructors are expensive.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Online courses offer a similar learning experience for less.

        Some courses add personalized feedback, community and certifications.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Online Courses

        Niche Platforms

        General Platforms

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • More courses will have cohorts, office hours and online events. Piracy is a problem. But these elements cannot be copied. See Makerpad memberships and Write of Passage cohorts.
        • Instructors will experience the superstar effect. The best will receive asymmetric rewards. Superstars will emerge in coding, writing, design and more. This already happened in China.
        • More companies will pay instructors to promote products. This is advanced content marketing. Kiley Bennett was against Skillshare’s revenue share model until a company paid her upfront to teach, using their product.

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        • Start small.
          • Tweet, blog, hold a live workshop, write a book and make a course.
          • Each level validates your idea and builds a following.
          • Feedback from live workshops help you test your content and format. Find issues before you immortalize them in a book or course.
          • Make a mini-course before you make a signature course.
        • Have a clear goal linked to your course. Students should finish with a podcast, app, meal, painting, rental property, newsletter, job, affiliate marketing site, audience, Etsy shop or an online course.
        • Validate the course before you make it. Presell and let early students give feedback. Paula Pant had $140,000 in presales before she launched.
        • Add live elements to your course. Including cohorts, online events and office hours. These benefits can’t be pirated. Platforms such as Coursera allow free members to pay for graded assignments and certificates.
        • Offer certificates. These add value and cost you little. You’re impressed when you see Harvard, YC Alum and ex-Google. Signals carry weight. Offer something similar. See LinkedIn Learning Certificates, Udacity Nanodegrees, CXL Minidegrees and edX MicroBachelors programs.
        • Build courses for the same audience and leverage existing relationships. This lowers customer acquisition costs and boosts customer lifetime value. You can profitably outbid others in paid channels such as Reddit, Facebook and Google.
        • Provide value and grow your audience today. Building an audience allows you to use a platform like Podia. You’ll pay a flat monthly fee and keep the proceeds from your course. Udemy helps students find you but you earn 25% of the purchase price. A price that you might not control. And Skillshare may pay you less than that. That’s the price of distribution. So make your own.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “What about free online courses?”
        These exist. But not here. This report is for paid online courses. Platforms such as Class Central and Khan Academy are great free options.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. Blogger Earns $140,000 from Beta Phase of Online Course โ€” Find out how Paula Pant made $140k before launching her course. Her early students helped improve content for the launch.
        2. How to Make $2.5MM as a Solo Founder by Teaching What You Love with Adam Wathan โ€” Find out how Adam Wathan made $100,000 in one day from a course for developers. And how he made $1,000,000 in one month by partnering with Steve Schoger on Refactoring UI. The duo delivered free resources for years before they launched.
        3. Launching an Online Course โ€” Nicholas Scalice interviewed Janelle Allen. She talked about why it’s important to validate before you build, how to launch and more.
        4. Tiago Forte โ€” Organize Your Learning for Better Productivity โ€” This time Janelle Allen did the interviewing. Tiago Forte shared how he got started, why his second course failed after the first succeeded and what he learned.
        5. The Economics of Teaching in an Online Learning Marketplace โ€” This is a great overview of 7 platforms and when it makes sense to use each.
        6. Escaping the 9-to-5 Grind to Create a $3 Million Business with Joel Hooks of egghead.io โ€” Courtland Allen interviewed Joel Hooks. Joel talked about how Egghead.io got started, what he’s learned so far and how to build a sustainable company.
        7. Income From Online Courses โ€” Dr. Mo offered ideas for nomad physicians to make money with online courses.
        8. Building an Online Course From Start to Finish โ€” Pat Flynn earned $1 million from courses in 2017. He shared tips on how to get over the fear of selling, how to outline course content and a lot more.


        Micro Private Equity: Building a Playbook, Abandoned Projects, Revenue-Based Financing

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Founders want to cash out.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Micro Private Equity buys businesses valued at or under $5 million.

        These are not sexy, venture scale startups. Some are technology-focused. But they tend to be simple, cash flow positive companies with stable growth.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Micro Private Equity Funds

        Companies

        Marketplaces

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        • Build a playbook to boost returns:
          • Raise revenue by raising prices
          • Raise revenue with conversion rate optimization
          • Raise revenue by negotiating better affiliate commissions
          • Lower customer acquisition costs by improving SEO
          • Lower costs with tax efficient business structures
          • Lower costs with tax credits
          • Lower costs with a remote team
          • Lower costs by automating workflows
        • Attract investment opportunities with content and events. Look at:
        • Make offers on abandoned projects found on the Chrome Web Store, Shopify App Store and Product Hunt. Which projects have not been updated?
        • Build a playbook around similar assets:
        • Buy businesses with similar customers, cross-sell and lower customer acquisition costs.
        • Invest across platforms and verticals. Amazon recently slashed affiliate commissions. Coronavirus took out many travel-related businesses. Concentrating on one platform or vertical carries a lot of risk.
        • Niche horizontally. Focus on a business characteristic instead of a vertical. Consider B2B SaaS, B2C SaaS or digital assets.
        • Start low and stair step up in deal size. Sure… Small deals have relatively high transaction costs. But fuck ups carry less risk at this level. Move up to bigger acquisitions as you learn.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “You didn’t include Tiny.”
        Andrew distinguishes between Tiny and PE. I won’t contradict that.

        “You didn’t include SureSwitft Captial.”
        Kevin said that he doesn’t like the term. Refer to Tiny. ๐Ÿ‘†

        โ€œSometimes Micro PE buys majority stakes. Not whole companies.โ€
        Nuance. Thatโ€™s the purpose of this section.

        “Is this investment advice?”
        No.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. Vroom Vroom Vroom & Mudbrick Capital โ€” Mike Boyd is a great storyteller. Find out how he got started and why he loves digital assets.
        2. Buying cash-flowing internet companies, starting job boards and building no code projects โ€” This was Andrew’s first podcast interview in a while. Find out why he’s bullish on no-code and podcast memberships.
        3. Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman on Private Equity, His Life and Blackstone โ€” Stephen shares childhood stories and how he built Blackstone.
        4. Q&A with Andrew Wilkinson, Co-founder of Tiny โ€” Andrew Wilkinson came back for an AMA. He fills in the gaps that weren’t covered in the interview.
        5. The Snag of Selling to Private Equity โ€” Find out how Sherry Deutschmann built a $40 million dollar company and why she insisted on profit-sharing.
        6. Trends #0005 โ€” Bootstrap Funds โ€” Micro PE and Bootstrap Funds have similar investment criteria. Bootstrap Funds invest earlier, founders sell minority stakes and stay onboard.
        7. The Berkshire of Software โ€” This is a wide-ranging interview. Savneet and Patrick cover Spanish real estate, software sales, gold, crypto and a lot more.
        8. How a Passion for Craft Spirits Turned into a Six-Figures-a-Month Subscription Box Startup โ€” Mack McConnell shares how he built Taster’s Club and why he sold to SureSwift Capital.


        Paid Newsletters: Conversion Rates, Newsletter Bundles, Building a Six-Figure Newsletter

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Advertising alters incentives.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        Write for your readers. Not advertisers.

        ๐Ÿ Players

        Paid Newsletters

        Platforms

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • New types of newsletters will be created. Need an example? Flow State sends you music every weekday.
        • Substack will help writers extract more value (and commissions) from their audience. Their incentives are aligned.
        • It will be hard to cancel writers. Paid newsletters make you accountable to your audience. Not sponsors or their stakeholders.
        • More writers will hold eventsSam Parr held a small meetup at his Airbnb with subscribers. Fintech Today hosts virtual events.
        • Newsletter fellowships will become common. Substack CEO, Chris Best, described the Substack Fellowship as a โ€œmini-YCโ€ for writers. 
        • Most writers will add products to their offering. Paid content is a simple way to monetize. But this leaves money on the table.
        • We will see more newsletter bundles. Bundling newsletters can lead to more revenue and lower reader acquisition costs.

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunties

        • Build a community on top of your newsletter. Use your platform to connect people. Courtland Allen, Pieter Levels and Jack Butcher used this content-to-community playbook.
        • Reach 1,000 free subscribers then monetize. The founders of Substack estimate a 10% free-to-paid conversion rate if you have:
          1. At least 1,000 subscribers
          2. At least a 50% open rate
          3. Good feedback from your readers
        • Start a podcast. You’ll reach a new audience that prefers to listen. Make money from podcast memberships.
        • Build a SaaS for your audience. Jane Portman has Userlist. Paul Jarvis has Fathom Analytics. Justin Jackson has Transistor.fm. Audience-first works.
        • Use your newsletter as a funnel for books, courses, events and consulting.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “Reader acquisition costs is a made up term.”
        Everything is made up. Stay woke.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. How Newsletters Make Money for Writers with Hamish McKenzie of Substack โ€” Hamish McKenzie, Co-founder of Substack, drops tactical knowledge bombs. Find out what he has learned from thousands of paid publications. And why he recommends charging general audiences $5+/mo and professional audiences $10+/mo.
        2. How to Build a Six-Figure Newsletter Without Anyone Knowing โ€” Glen Allsopp shares the stories of several six-figure newsletters. Great, in-depth writing. High signal-noise ratio.
        3. This indie newsletter generated over 10,000 paying subscribers โ€” Robert Cottrell founded The Browser. He shares what he has learned so far. And how he uses an algorithm to find some of his content.
        4. 1 Company, 1 Employee: Tearing Down Stratechery’s Pricing โ€” Patrick Campbell, founder of ProfitWell, explains why Stratechery is priced too low. With data from 1,411 current, former and prospective customers. Spoiler alert: Some would be willing to pay $18.40 per month or $201.39 per year.
        5. How My Newsletter for Developers Generates Subscription RevenueAdam Roberts shares how he went from ads to subscriptions.


        No-Code: Faster Development, Scalability, Leverage

        A Lego brick.

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        ๐Ÿ” Problem

        Developers are lazy and curious. Repetitive tasks annoy them.

        ๐Ÿ’ก Solution

        No Code tools help you build things without writing code. Blogs, forums, mobile apps, online stores and a lot more can be built without knowing how to code. 

        The life of a no-code tool starts with developers solving their own problems.

        Most no-code tools share this path ๐Ÿ‘‡

        1. Developers write reusable functions to write less code
        2. Then they create frameworks to write even less code
        3. Then they deploy APIs to help others write less code
        4. Then they create no code tools to help others write no code

        ๐Ÿ Players

        No-Code Products

        No-Code Makers

        No-Code Tools

        ๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions

        • No-Code Developer (or some variation) will become a common job title.
        • No-Code will become a gateway drug for makers to start coding.
        • No-Code โžก Low-Code โžก Code โ€” New businesses will follow this path. Mature companies will have all three.

        โ˜๏ธ Opportunities

        • Build a no-code tool to create chrome extensions
        • Host a no-code virtual summit
        • Host a no-code hackathon
        • Join a no-code community
        • Start a no-code blog or newsletter
        • Start a no-code investment fund
        • Build a no-code agency
        • Move to the no-code capital of the world. Atlanta.

        ๐Ÿ˜  Haters

        “Atlanta isn’t the no-code capital of the world.”
        Of course it is.

        “You can’t build a business on no-code.”
        I wrote Million Dollar No Code Businesses to dismiss this. It doesn’t matter what we think because it has already happened.

        “No-Code can’t scale.”
        Most no-code tools can scale but it doesn’t matter. Scaling isn’t the hard part. Traction is. Once you validate demand, I’ll come scale it for you. ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ‘€

        “No-Code will eliminate developer jobs.”
        I won’t argue. DM me a falsifiable theory and your confidence level. Let’s make a bet.

        ๐Ÿ”— Links

        1. CodeLess โ€” A podcast by Edmund Amoye
        2. Let’s clear some stuff up about ‘no-code’ โ€” A tweetstorm by Ben Tossell
        3. No-Code Coffee โ€” A newsletter by Michael Gill
        4. The Rise of โ€œNo Codeโ€ โ€” An examination of the no-code movement by Ryan Hoover
        5. NoCode Camp โ€” A mastermind by KP and Joe Brown
        6. MakerPad โ€” An education platform by Ben Tossell
        7. Codeless Ventures โ€” An investment fund by Michael Gill
        8. No Code List โ€” A list of tools by Drew Thomas
        9. Nocode Rumble โ€” A challenge by Sako and Michael Gill
        10. No Code Founders โ€” A community of makers by Joshua Tiernan